Terrible news for China and China backed Taliban as Russia creates a military alliance for a major assault.
For Russia, Tajikistan, and Central Asia forms what Moscow considers its “exclusive sphere of influence”. Furthermore, Tajikistan is a signatory to the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), which is the Russian equivalent of NATO. For China, meanwhile, Tajikistan is its future gateway into not just Afghanistan and Iran, but also the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman and subsequently, the global sea links via the Arabian Sea. This allows China to bypass the India-dominated Indian Ocean and the Strait of Malacca, which India can willingly block at any time. The Strait of Malacca is critical to the very existence of China, as its energy and oil supplies pass through this narrow chokepoint.
Now, coming to India, Tajikistan is of extreme geostrategic value. China aims at creating a fall-back region for its armed forces by occupying Tajikistan’s Pamir region – which accounts for 45 per cent of the country’s territory. The Pamir region is also known as the ‘roof of the world’. By gaining control over this region, China can dominate lowlands, especially Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK) and occupied Ladakh. India is looking to reunify these illegally usurped territories with itself. China knows India is about to launch an offensive to reclaim its territories, and therefore, it is preparing to handle a military assault in what it calls Aksai Chin by occupying the Pamir region of Tajikistan.